RBC: Small Stocks Look Good If You Can Hold Until 2023

(Business Insider) Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets chief US equity strategist, told Bloomberg on Thursday that small-cap stocks are giving investors a "historic valuation opportunity," but the call on whether or not to enter will depend on the time horizon of each investor. 

Short-term investors with a six- to 12-month time horizon should "stay neutral," Calvasina said, given that there are doubts about the trajectory of the economy in the near future. 

The strategist also said she thinks small caps are "functioning the way they typically function as cyclical expressions of confidence in the market," and added, "we think one of the reasons frankly they haven't broken out in a bigger way is that there are still all these doubts about the near-term trajectory of the economy." 

On the other hand, investors with a three- to five-year time horizon who can "ignore the noise of next year" can take advantage of this small-cap opportunity, she said.

"Small-caps are historically cheap relative to large caps, so we think you're going to be in a good place in this trade on a three- to five-year view but in the next six to 12 months our confidence is lower," Calvasina said.

Calvasina is expecting a long, uneven market recovery with a lot of volatility. She recommended to buy "the best in the cyclical camp, the defensive camp, and the longer-term growth camp and not try to chase all these little individual moves," referring to the recent surges in individual stocks like Home Depot.

She also echoed her previous take that within cyclicals, the industrial sector is where she's "really comfortable leaning in to." 

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